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Why Zimbabwe's fuel prices are among the highest in Africa right now

Zimbabwe ranks second in Africa for fuel prices at $2.23/litre after the Iran war disrupted global oil supply. Here is what is driving costs up and what the government is doing about it.

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Zimbabwe now has the second highest fuel prices in Africa, sitting just behind Malawi at $2.23 per litre for petrol, according to data from GlobalPetrolPrices as reported by New Zimbabwe. For context, Malawi is paying $3.84. Libya? Just two cents a litre.

That gap is insane. And it matters because fuel touches everything, from the cost of bread to the price of getting to work.

What happened

The spike traces back to the US-Israel conflict with Iran, which disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz earlier this year. That single chokepoint handles roughly a fifth of the world''s oil supply, and when it tightened, prices shot up everywhere. But they hit landlocked African countries like Zimbabwe especially hard.

ZERA, the Zimbabwe Energy Regulatory Authority, announced a small price cut on April 18. Diesel dropped from $2.11 to $2.09 per litre, and petrol fell from $2.23 to $2.08, as the Zimbabwe Mail reported. That is relief in the technical sense. Nobody is celebrating.

The government also temporarily cut levies on diesel and is pushing to raise ethanol blending from E5 to E20, which would reduce the amount of imported petrol needed per litre sold. Cabinet approved the tax review in late March, with Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube saying the goal was to bring pump prices down. Nearly 86 cents of every litre of petrol goes to various government taxes, so there was room to move, at least in theory.

The bigger problem

Here is what makes this worse for Zimbabwe than for most countries: the economy has structural costs baked in that other nations do not carry.

As economist Tinashe Murapata pointed out in a ZimLive column, US dollar interest rates in Zimbabwe sit around 18 percent. That means fuel importers financing their purchases through letters of credit pay steep costs that get passed straight to the pump. Neighbouring countries with weaker currencies somehow manage lower financing costs.

There is also the ZiG question. In South Africa, the rand moves with commodity prices. When gold rises, the rand strengthens, and that cushions consumers on fuel. The Zambian kwacha does the same with copper. The ZiG does not move. It just sits there, absorbing nothing, offering no buffer. Consumers pay the full shock, every time.

And then there is the reserves claim. President Mnangagwa recently said Zimbabwe''s economy is booming on the back of $1.2 billion in forex reserves, according to New Zimbabwe. If those reserves are real and comfortable, the country should be able to cushion short-term price spikes by drawing on fuel bought at earlier, lower prices. Instead, Zimbabwe adjusts prices faster than almost anyone in the region. That behaviour is consistent with a country buying close to spot prices and having little room to absorb shocks.

What this means for your wallet

If you want to track how the ZiG is actually performing against the dollar on any given day, check the ZimRate exchange rate history. It is more honest than most official statements.

For anyone converting remittances or calculating business costs, the ZimRate converter helps cut through the noise. When fuel prices jump 40 percent in two months, knowing the real exchange rate matters.

The ZimRate dashboard tracks parallel market rates too, which is where most Zimbabweans actually do business.

What comes next

ZERA says the current prices will be reviewed over the next two weeks, depending on global trends. The Iran situation is still volatile. If the Strait of Hormuz tightens again, expect another round of increases.

The government is right that it cannot control global oil markets. But it can control the tax burden on fuel, the efficiency of import financing, and whether the ZiG eventually gets enough flexibility to act as a real shock absorber. So far, it has done the first thing, a little. The other two remain untouched.

For now, Zimbabweans are paying premium prices for fuel in a country where wages have not kept pace. That is not a global problem. That is a local one.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.