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Construction Boom Lifts Zeco's Outlook

ZECO Holdings is riding Zimbabwe's construction wave. Despite a 3.4% revenue dip in Q1 2026, the diversified group sees sustained building activity boosting demand for its core window and door frame products.

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Construction Boom Lifts Zeco's Outlook

ZECO Holdings (Zeco) sees brighter days ahead as Zimbabwe's construction sector gains momentum, with the diversified group betting on sustained building activity to drive demand for its window and door frame products.

The company reported Q1 2026 revenue of ZiG2,178 million, a moderate 3.4% decline from ZiG2,265 million in the prior year. But management is looking past the dip, pointing to an active construction pipeline across residential, commercial, and infrastructure segments.

Why the optimism?

Zimbabwe's construction sector is experiencing steady expansion. Urbanisation, government-led infrastructure projects, and rising housing demand are generating sustained demand for building materials. For context on the broader economic backdrop, see why fiscal discipline matters for ZiG stability.

The company noted in its Q1 trade update that "ongoing construction projects should bolster sales for window and doorframes," signalling confidence that the pipeline will convert into revenue growth as projects progress.

Mixed signals in the numbers

While the revenue dip warrants attention, there are green shoots. Zeco's shop space occupancy rate improved sharply to 55.88%, up from 46.67% a year earlier, reflecting better marketing and leasing execution at Palm Estate. That side of the business should get a further lift once an anchor tenant moves into additional space.

However, costs are rising. Administration expenses jumped 40.96% and property expenses climbed 15.66%. The company expects inflationary pressures from rising fuel prices linked to geopolitical tensions in Iran and the Middle East, which could squeeze margins if not managed carefully.

Macro context

The operating environment in Q1 2026 was defined by tight monetary policy aimed at supporting ZiG stability. The exchange rate held steady at roughly US$1:ZiG25.3 while the IMF projects Zimbabwe's GDP to grow 5.0% in 2026. For more on the currency landscape, see the RBZ's first ZiG bill auction benchmark.

Industry analysts point to several tailwinds:

  • Infrastructure spend: Government is channelling resources into roads, energy, and housing programmes
  • Urbanisation: Growing demand for commercial and residential space in Harare, Bulawayo, and secondary cities
  • Import substitution: Policy incentives favour local manufacturers of construction materials over imported alternatives

These dynamics create a favourable environment for Zeco's core business, even as tight liquidity persists across the economy.

What to watch

The key metric going forward will be whether Zeco can convert construction activity into actual revenue growth in Q2 and beyond. Rising costs and an uncertain fuel price outlook are headwinds, but the demand side looks constructive for the first time in years.

For investors and market watchers, Zeco represents a bellwether for Zimbabwe's broader construction story. If buildings are going up, Zeco's window and door frame sales should follow.